Modena vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
25.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
MAN
3 - 0
MOD
63%
24%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
55%
28%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
55%
27%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
PAL
0 - 1
MOD
58%
27%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
MOD
3 - 1
NOV
47%
30%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
TER
1 - 1
FCC
50%
30%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
NOV
3 - 0
TER
42%
31%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
TER
1 - 0
ARZ
62%
24%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
PRG
1 - 0
TER
40%
31%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
TER
1 - 0
CES
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |