Modena vs Teramo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 1
MOD
33%
27%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 0
MAN
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 1
MOD
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 0
PIA
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 2
MOD
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Teramo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
TER
1 - 1
GEN
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2006 |
PRO
1 - 1
TER
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
TER
2 - 2
PAD
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
PRO
4 - 1
TER
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
TER
3 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |