Modena vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
22.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
ASC
3 - 0
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
MOD
0 - 3
NAP
22%
29%
49%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
NAP
3 - 0
MOD
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
CAS
0 - 1
MOD
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1992 |
MOD
2 - 1
MES
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
TAR
0 - 0
PIS
35%
31%
34%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
TAR
1 - 3
ROM
19%
29%
52%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
ROM
4 - 1
TAR
73%
19%
8%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
TAR
2 - 1
ASL
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1992 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAS
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |