Modena vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
28.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
VER
1 - 0
MOD
74%
18%
8%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
SAL
1 - 1
MOD
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1990 |
MOD
1 - 1
BRE
46%
30%
24%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1990 |
MOD
1 - 2
BOL
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
ANC
3 - 1
MOD
53%
27%
21%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
TAR
1 - 0
TRI
48%
30%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
BRE
0 - 0
TAR
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1990 |
TAR
1 - 1
SAL
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
SSB
1 - 0
TAR
43%
30%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
TAR
1 - 1
ANC
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |