Modena vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
20%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 2
MOD
65%
23%
12%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
ATL
46%
30%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
REG
0 - 0
MOD
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
40%
33%
28%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
AVE
1 - 1
MOD
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
TAR
68%
22%
10%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
TAR
0 - 0
PES
40%
31%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
TAR
0 - 0
BRI
54%
30%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
GEN
3 - 0
TAR
71%
19%
9%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
CAT
1 - 0
TAR
42%
32%
27%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |