Modena vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
22.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 2
CAT
43%
31%
26%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
SOR
0 - 0
MOD
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
49%
30%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
ARZ
1 - 0
MOD
55%
28%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
MOD
2 - 0
ASS
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
TAR
0 - 0
BAR
41%
33%
27%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
CES
0 - 0
TAR
51%
29%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
TAR
2 - 0
TER
40%
32%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
COM
2 - 0
TAR
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
SOR
0 - 2
TAR
36%
28%
35%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |