Modena vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 2
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 0
MOD
54%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 2
TER
62%
24%
14%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
VER
3 - 1
MOD
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VIR
3 - 1
REG
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 2
VIR
56%
23%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
VIR
3 - 2
CTT
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 1
VIR
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 2
VIR
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |