Modena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAN
48%
28%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MOD
0 - 0
FOR
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ABN
0 - 1
MOD
39%
28%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MOD
0 - 1
PAD
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
ABN
0 - 0
SSS
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SSS
1 - 1
ACL
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
TER
2 - 1
SSS
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 0
REG
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
SSS
30%
24%
45%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |