Modena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
23.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
USC
2 - 2
MOD
68%
21%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 1
BAR
40%
32%
28%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 1
LIV
32%
23%
46%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
UDI
4 - 1
MOD
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 2
FIO
22%
26%
53%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
SSS
1 - 0
LEC
39%
32%
29%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SSS
61%
25%
14%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
CEN
4 - 5
SSS
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 11 | 47 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
SSS
2 - 1
EMP
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
PIA
2 - 1
SSS
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |