Modena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOD
60%
26%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 1
VIC
35%
31%
35%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
PES
2 - 0
MOD
49%
29%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
34%
28%
39%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
PAL
2 - 0
MOD
52%
29%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
SSS
1 - 1
ASC
31%
33%
37%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
SSS
50%
30%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
VAR
30%
29%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
TER
2 - 0
SSS
64%
24%
13%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
SSS
1 - 1
ASS
47%
30%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |