Modena vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
REG
1 - 0
MOD
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
MOD
3 - 1
AVE
45%
29%
27%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
MOD
3 - 0
TRI
53%
28%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
PAD
1 - 1
MOD
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
MOD
2 - 0
COS
41%
28%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
PES
3 - 0
SSB
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
SSB
0 - 0
REG
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
USF
2 - 0
SSB
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
SSB
1 - 5
VER
33%
31%
36%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
TRI
2 - 0
SSB
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |