Modena vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
PAD
5 - 2
MOD
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
ASC
3 - 0
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
MOD
0 - 3
NAP
22%
29%
49%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
NAP
3 - 0
MOD
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
SPA
0 - 3
USC
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
SPA
1 - 1
ASC
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
TER
1 - 1
SPA
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
SPA
0 - 1
PIS
28%
26%
45%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
SPA
1 - 4
CES
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |