Modena vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAD
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
VNZ
2 - 3
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
LIV
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
REG
0 - 1
MOD
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
FCC
0 - 0
MOD
51%
28%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1966 |
BRE
2 - 2
SPA
54%
24%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 2
FIO
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
SPA
3 - 0
CAT
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
SAM
1 - 0
SPA
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
ATL
2 - 0
SPA
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |