Modena vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
ROM
2 - 0
MOD
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
MOD
3 - 0
SAM
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
ATL
1 - 1
MOD
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
MOD
0 - 0
CAT
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
MOD
2 - 3
VIC
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
SPA
0 - 0
GEN
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
SPA
2 - 0
ROM
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
TOR
2 - 0
SPA
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
SPA
3 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1963 |
PAD
4 - 6
SPA
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |