Modena vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
REG
3 - 0
MOD
65%
24%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
MOD
2 - 2
ARZ
42%
32%
27%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
ASS
2 - 0
MOD
53%
29%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
44%
32%
24%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
NOV
3 - 3
MOD
66%
23%
11%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
SOR
1 - 0
CAT
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
SOR
1 - 2
GEN
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
TAR
2 - 0
SOR
61%
25%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SOR
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
SOR
0 - 0
PRG
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |