Modena vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
MOD
2 - 0
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
SAL
1 - 1
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
CAT
1 - 0
MOD
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
MOD
0 - 0
TRE
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
UNI
4 - 2
MOD
69%
18%
14%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
BRE
4 - 1
SIR
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
SIR
1 - 1
FAN
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
SIR
1 - 1
ACM
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
CAG
0 - 0
SIR
78%
14%
9%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
PAD
3 - 0
SIR
67%
19%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -2 |