Modena vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
SAL
5 - 1
MOD
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
VIC
2 - 0
MOD
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 1951 |
USC
0 - 4
MOD
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
MOD
3 - 3
TRE
64%
19%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 2
MOD
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
SIR
1 - 0
LIV
57%
20%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
SIR
1 - 1
ASS
65%
18%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1951 |
SIR
2 - 0
MES
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
ANC
2 - 4
SIR
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
FAN
2 - 0
SIR
61%
19%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |