Modena vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
VIC
1 - 1
MOD
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
MOD
0 - 1
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
UNI
1 - 0
MOD
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 2
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1949 |
MOD
2 - 0
GEN
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
UDI
3 - 1
SIR
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
SIR
5 - 0
ACP
67%
17%
16%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
SIR
2 - 0
FAN
71%
15%
14%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
TAR
3 - 0
SIR
63%
19%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -3 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
CAT
0 - 2
SIR
76%
14%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |