Modena vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
AVE
1 - 0
MOD
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
MOD
0 - 0
TOR
19%
27%
54%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 1
CAG
43%
27%
31%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
PIS
2 - 2
MOD
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
MOD
0 - 1
VER
38%
31%
31%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
CAG
0 - 0
SIE
35%
27%
39%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
SIE
0 - 1
PIS
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
TOR
1 - 0
SIE
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
SIE
2 - 0
AVE
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
ASS
1 - 0
SIE
58%
19%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +3 |