Modena vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
PAD
2 - 1
MOD
59%
23%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 3
CAT
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
VER
2 - 0
MOD
41%
30%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
PIS
1 - 0
MOD
37%
31%
33%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAM
29%
29%
42%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
SAV
2 - 1
SAM
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
SAV
0 - 1
VER
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 0
SAV
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
ARZ
3 - 2
SAV
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
SAV
0 - 0
USA
59%
22%
18%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |