Modena vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
VAR
3 - 0
MOD
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
SPA
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAD
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
VNZ
2 - 3
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
LIV
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
SAL
0 - 2
MES
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
SAL
1 - 0
RPO
72%
17%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
ACP
2 - 1
SAL
62%
18%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
SAL
3 - 2
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
SAL
5 - 0
PAL
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +3 |