Modena vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1948 |
USA
0 - 0
MOD
46%
24%
29%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1948 |
MOD
2 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1948 |
MOD
2 - 0
VIC
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
GEN
2 - 0
MOD
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
MOD
2 - 0
ATL
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1948 |
SAL
0 - 0
ATL
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
SAL
1 - 4
TOR
16%
20%
64%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1948 |
NAP
0 - 0
SAL
64%
19%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1948 |
SAL
2 - 0
FIO
41%
24%
35%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
SAL
1 - 0
BAR
47%
22%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |