Modena vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
BOL
2 - 0
MOD
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
MOD
2 - 1
SAM
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
MOD
0 - 2
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
ATL
2 - 0
MOD
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 1
NOV
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 0
GEN
48%
23%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
BAR
0 - 4
ROM
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 1
LAZ
54%
22%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACM
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
TOR
4 - 0
ROM
92%
6%
3%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |