Modena vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
PRO
0 - 1
MOD
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
TOR
5 - 2
MOD
92%
6%
2%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 1
SAM
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 0
MOD
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
TRI
1 - 0
MOD
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAL
68%
18%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 3
TRI
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
INT
3 - 2
ROM
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 2
ROM
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
ROM
4 - 1
USA
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |