Modena vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
MOD
3 - 1
SAM
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
VIC
3 - 1
MOD
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
MOD
2 - 2
CAG
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
PRG
3 - 0
MOD
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
GEN
3 - 0
MOD
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
BOL
3 - 0
RIM
86%
10%
5%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
RIM
3 - 2
BRE
50%
23%
28%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
AVE
2 - 2
RIM
68%
17%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
RIM
0 - 1
ROM
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
FOR
3 - 2
RIM
33%
23%
45%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -2 |