Modena vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 0
FCS
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 1
RSO
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MOD
1 - 1
VER
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 0
MOD
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 1
GRO
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
REG
1 - 0
NOC
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
REG
0 - 3
VIC
64%
21%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SAS
4 - 1
REG
50%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
REG
3 - 3
CTT
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 1
REG
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |