Modena vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
41%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 0
MOD
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 0
EMP
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GRO
3 - 1
MOD
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
33%
27%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 2
MOD
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
REG
2 - 1
PIA
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
FRO
2 - 0
REG
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
REG
1 - 1
CTT
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
REG
0 - 2
VIC
68%
21%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 2
REG
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |