Modena vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
MOD
2 - 0
BAR
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CAG
4 - 0
MOD
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
MOD
1 - 0
ACL
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2001 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAL
58%
23%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
PAL
1 - 2
MOD
36%
28%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
ANC
1 - 0
REG
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
ACL
1 - 1
REG
14%
24%
62%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
REG
2 - 1
CAG
42%
27%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
REG
2 - 1
VER
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2001 |
VER
1 - 0
REG
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |