Modena vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
MOD
2 - 1
ATL
38%
30%
32%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
CAT
2 - 0
MOD
53%
29%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
52%
28%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
USF
2 - 2
MOD
69%
22%
10%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 1
MAN
42%
32%
27%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
REG
1 - 0
GEN
58%
27%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
ARZ
0 - 0
REG
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
REG
1 - 0
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1970 |
ASS
2 - 0
REG
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
REG
1 - 1
PIA
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |