Modena vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
REG
1 - 0
MOD
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
MOD
1 - 0
MAN
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 0
MOD
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
MOD
1 - 2
BRE
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
CAT
0 - 0
MOD
55%
27%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
REG
0 - 0
GEN
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
REG
1 - 1
SPA
45%
30%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
FCC
2 - 1
REG
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
MAN
1 - 1
REG
43%
30%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
REG
1 - 0
LIV
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |