Modena vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
42%
29%
28%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
MOD
2 - 2
LIV
54%
27%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1966 |
ACM
5 - 2
MOD
80%
14%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
ARZ
2 - 3
MOD
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
MOD
0 - 0
PAL
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
REG
0 - 2
PAL
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
REG
0 - 0
SAL
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
VAR
2 - 1
REG
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
GEN
1 - 1
REG
54%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
LIV
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |