Modena vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
MOD
2 - 2
FCC
45%
29%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
PRO
0 - 0
MOD
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
GEN
1 - 0
MOD
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
VER
1 - 0
MOD
51%
28%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
REG
1 - 1
PAL
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
ASS
1 - 2
REG
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
VER
3 - 2
REG
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
REG
1 - 0
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
REG
3 - 1
FCC
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |