Modena vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
20.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1966 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
37%
29%
35%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
VER
48%
27%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
MAN
0 - 0
MOD
60%
25%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
MOD
0 - 0
ASS
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1966 |
PRO
0 - 0
LIV
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
VNZ
6 - 1
PRO
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
PRO
0 - 3
ASS
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
REG
2 - 1
PRO
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 2
PRO
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |