Modena vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
LAZ
5 - 1
MOD
55%
22%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
MOD
4 - 0
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1948 |
FIO
1 - 1
MOD
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
MOD
0 - 1
TOR
18%
23%
59%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
BAR
0 - 1
MOD
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
PRO
1 - 1
ROM
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
PRO
0 - 1
JUV
33%
25%
43%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1948 |
PAL
3 - 1
PRO
42%
25%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
LAZ
2 - 5
PRO
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
PRO
5 - 0
NOV
56%
22%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |