Modena vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
MOD
3 - 0
ASL
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
JUV
0 - 1
MOD
82%
12%
7%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
MOD
0 - 0
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
ACM
2 - 1
MOD
76%
15%
10%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
MOD
1 - 1
BOL
47%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
PRO
3 - 2
USA
47%
23%
30%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
BAR
1 - 3
PRO
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
ASL
2 - 0
PRO
50%
23%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
INT
4 - 0
PRO
80%
12%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
PRO
1 - 0
SAL
56%
20%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |