Modena vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
ROM
4 - 2
MOD
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
LAZ
2 - 0
MOD
60%
19%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
USA
1 - 1
MOD
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
MOD
4 - 1
LIV
60%
19%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
JUV
4 - 1
MOD
78%
13%
8%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
PRO
1 - 1
JUV
27%
25%
49%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
INT
2 - 1
PRO
84%
10%
6%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
GEN
1 - 0
PRO
85%
9%
5%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
PRO
2 - 2
LEO
42%
24%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
ACM
1 - 1
PRO
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |