Modena vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
TOR
1 - 1
MOD
69%
17%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
MOD
3 - 2
BRE
50%
21%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
ROM
4 - 0
MOD
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
MOD
3 - 0
LAZ
36%
22%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
MOD
3 - 2
USA
55%
20%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
PRO
3 - 2
NAP
17%
18%
65%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PRO
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
PRO
1 - 3
JUV
26%
25%
50%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
PRO
1 - 1
INT
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
PRO
2 - 3
GEN
18%
20%
63%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |