Modena vs Potenza SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
21%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
USA
2 - 2
MOD
44%
30%
26%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 0
GEN
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 2
MOD
48%
29%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAL
63%
23%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
VAR
3 - 0
MOD
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Potenza SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
SAV
1 - 0
POT
29%
26%
46%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
POT
1 - 0
REG
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
POT
1 - 0
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
CAT
1 - 2
POT
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
REG
0 - 0
POT
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |