Modena vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
3 - 1
MOD
61%
26%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
MOD
1 - 3
SAM
42%
30%
27%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
USC
3 - 0
MOD
53%
30%
17%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
64%
24%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
MOD
2 - 1
RIM
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
PIS
3 - 2
BRE
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
CAG
3 - 0
PIS
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
PIS
2 - 1
TER
47%
28%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASC
34%
29%
37%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
USC
0 - 1
PIS
45%
24%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |