Modena vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
ABN
2 - 0
MOD
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
VNZ
1 - 3
MOD
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 2
MOD
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRI
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
PIA
2 - 1
VNZ
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
PES
1 - 2
PIA
28%
28%
45%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
COM
0 - 3
PIA
25%
27%
49%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
VER
0 - 2
PIA
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
PIA
0 - 0
FIO
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |