Modena vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
LEC
2 - 1
MOD
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
MOD
3 - 1
PIS
37%
29%
35%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
MOD
0 - 3
SAM
21%
29%
50%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
PES
3 - 1
MOD
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
SAM
3 - 1
MOD
81%
14%
5%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
PIA
2 - 1
AVE
37%
31%
33%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
ANC
2 - 1
PIA
61%
25%
15%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
PIA
0 - 2
ASL
38%
29%
32%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
PIA
1 - 1
MOD
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
MOD
1 - 0
PIA
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |