Modena vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
27.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
MES
0 - 0
MOD
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 1
BAR
42%
33%
25%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
GEN
3 - 0
MOD
64%
24%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
LAZ
4 - 2
MOD
68%
21%
10%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
MOD
2 - 0
TAR
59%
26%
15%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
PES
2 - 0
SSS
59%
27%
14%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
VIC
1 - 3
PES
59%
26%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
CAM
1 - 0
PES
41%
33%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
PES
2 - 0
USC
49%
29%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
TRI
3 - 1
PES
54%
28%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |