Modena vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
MOD
2 - 0
SSS
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 0
MOD
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
MOD
2 - 0
LEC
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
EMP
0 - 3
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
SSS
2 - 1
MOD
24%
28%
48%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
PRG
3 - 2
CES
78%
16%
6%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PRG
3 - 3
UDI
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
BOL
2 - 2
PRG
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
PRG
1 - 0
DUN
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
PRG
0 - 0
REG
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |