Modena vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
BRE
3 - 0
MOD
72%
19%
8%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 1
CAT
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
LIV
2 - 0
MOD
54%
28%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
PRG
1 - 1
LAZ
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
PRG
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
TER
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
PRG
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
PRG
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |