Modena vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
PIS
1 - 0
MOD
58%
26%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
MOD
1 - 1
VER
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
LIV
0 - 0
MOD
54%
27%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
MOD
2 - 0
REG
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
44%
30%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 0
LAZ
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
PRG
1 - 2
PIS
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
GEN
0 - 0
PRG
55%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
PRG
4 - 2
NOV
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
POT
1 - 0
PRG
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |