Modena vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
29%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
VIC
3 - 0
MOD
68%
22%
10%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEC
42%
32%
26%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
PIS
0 - 2
MOD
66%
22%
12%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
MOD
0 - 1
SIE
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
AVE
1 - 0
MOD
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAM
47%
32%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
BAR
0 - 0
PAR
58%
26%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
PAR
0 - 0
LAZ
44%
31%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
TRI
0 - 2
PAR
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
ACM
0 - 1
PAR
84%
12%
5%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | +1 |