Modena vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
ASS
1 - 1
MOD
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
USA
1 - 1
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
MOD
2 - 0
TAR
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
MOD
1 - 0
PAL
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
MOD
0 - 2
FAN
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
PAR
2 - 1
VER
76%
15%
10%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
PAR
0 - 0
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAR
28%
25%
48%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
PAR
2 - 2
COM
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
UDI
4 - 1
PAR
63%
18%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -2 |