Modena vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
23%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
SAM
2 - 1
MOD
69%
21%
10%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
MOD
2 - 0
USC
59%
27%
14%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
41%
30%
29%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
RIM
1 - 0
MOD
53%
27%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 0
CAG
44%
30%
27%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
PAL
2 - 0
COM
48%
31%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
AVE
1 - 1
PAL
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
PAL
0 - 0
TAR
45%
32%
23%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
SSS
2 - 1
PAL
48%
30%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
PAL
0 - 0
VAR
43%
30%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |