Modena vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 3
MOD
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
MOD
3 - 3
TER
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
MOD
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 2
JUS
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 3
MOD
34%
28%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 1
PAL
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
PES
0 - 0
NOV
42%
25%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 1
TRA
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LAT
4 - 1
NOV
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
CRO
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |