Modena vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
LEC
3 - 1
MOD
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
CES
4 - 1
MOD
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
MOD
3 - 1
ARZ
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
SAM
4 - 1
MOD
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
MOD
2 - 0
PAD
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
NAP
2 - 0
CES
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAP
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAO
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
NAP
1 - 0
BOL
85%
11%
5%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1988 |
NAP
3 - 0
SSB
94%
4%
1%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |